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Matt Severance

#1

+2029.5

(65%)

146-80-2 in Last 228 MLB Picks

MLB
PIT @ CIN • Fri 6:10pm

CIN +1.5

-145

Spread

Picked: Jul 31 @ 3:40am

Analysis

I don't have a super-strong opinion on this -- half unit -- but Paul Skenes vs. Hunter Greene. That has my attentionso I will probably watch some of this. Shoot12 months ago this was the NL Central if not entire NL pitching matchup to watch going forward. Now they are both eating Jacob Misiorowski's dust. So much can change in a year. Greene has an excusehe's back from injury. This is why I don't believe you can count on pitchers. Hope but not count on. Theo Epstein nailed it with the 2016 Cubs. Get the batsfigure out the rest later. Arms fail as the Cubs are well aware of in 2026-- the law firm of HortonSteele & Brown sadly.

Matchup
Angelo Magliocca

+268.5

(59%)

27-19 in Last 46 MLB Player Props Picks

MLB
PIT @ CIN • Fri 6:10pm

H. Greene

Over 7.5

+120

Pitcher Strikeouts

Picked: Jul 31 @ 10:00am

Analysis

Hunter Greene was cruising in his last start when five hits and two walks in the 6th inning knocked him out. He had just three strikeouts against the Cardinals up to that pointbut St Louis has been bottom-five in strikeouts against right handers for a while. Greene gets a bounce back spot at homeagainst a Pirates team leading MLB in strikeout rate vs. righties over the last few weeks around 30%. He's been better for strikeouts against lefties and he will likely see five or six of themwith two of the righties in this lineup possessing K rates above 30%. Coming off a lower pitch count in what might be his final start in CincyI'm taking the ladder at 8,9,10 Ks.

Matchup
Eric Cohen

#2

+1764

(73%)

29-11 in Last 40 MLB Picks

MLB
NYY @ CHC

CHC

-136

Money Line

LOSS

Picked: Jul 30 @ 8:04pm

Analysis

I'll ride the hot hand of Shota Imanaga and roll with my Cubbies on Friday afternoon. Since the All-Star BreakImanaga has been awesomeallowing no runs in 13 innings pitched. In factImanaga has surrendered two or fewer earned runs in five straight outings. Yankees starter Will Warren was tagged for six runs in three innings in Philadelphia on Sunday night and runs up against a Cubs team who has won 8 of 13 since the Break. Last yearthese two pitchers squared off in New Yorkwith Imanaga holding the Yankees to two hits and one run over seven innings en route to a 4-1 win. I'll back a similar outcome for the North Siders on Friday afternoon.

Matchup
Bob Konarski

+459

(61%)

14-9 in Last 23 MLB Picks

MLB
NYY @ CHC

Over 9

-102

Over/Under

LOSS

Picked: Jul 31 @ 11:55am

Analysis

Shota Imanaga has pitched well in Julyholing his opponents to a combined three runs in 22.2 innings. He also has a favorable matchup against a Yankees squad hitting .232 against lefties on the road. HoweverImanaga’s consistent issue have been allowing home runs and we all know New York istypicallyhomer or strikeout. Will Warren owns a 5.00 road ERA and 7.85 ERA over his last six starts. He faces one of the best offenses in the majorsscoring over five runs per game. The forecast is calling for a decent amount of wind blowing out to get this one up and over the total.

Matchup
Matt Severance

#1

+2029.5

(65%)

146-80-2 in Last 228 MLB Picks

MLB
NYY @ CHC

CHC

-154

Money Line

LOSS

Picked: Jul 31 @ 12:54pm

Analysis

It's the Cubs in a standalone Friday matineeand you don't know day drinking unless you have been to Wrigley for one of these Ferris Buehler specials. Your Saturday headache will be epic. I woke up in GaryInd.once after one in the 2000s. No one should ever wake up in GaryInd. So I have to have some opinion here. Not a huge onebut Shota Imanaga has been quite good of late with a 1.19 ERA this month (checking .. yep still July for one more day).

Matchup