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font-size: 3.73rem; text-align: center; background-size: 100% 100%; background-image: url('https://css.tgb.cn/images/mNew/openApp.png'); margin: 3.2rem 0; } .verification-popup{ width: 74rem; height: 70rem; background-color: #fff; border-radius: 10px; position: fixed; top: 40rem; left: 0; right: 0; z-index: 9999; margin: 0 auto; text-align: center; } .verification-popupweixin{ width: 74rem; height: 70rem; background-color: #fff; border-radius: 10px; position: fixed; top: 40rem; left: 0; right: 0; z-index: 9999; margin: 0 auto; text-align: center; } .verification-input{ color: #ff9900; width: 60rem; height: 9rem; background-color: #F0EFF0; border-radius: 999px; margin: 6.5rem auto; } .verification-input input::-webkit-input-placeholder { color: #999; } .verification-input input{ display:block; width:50rem; background:none; outline:none; border:none; color: #333; font-size: 3.6rem; -webkit-appearance:none; height: 9rem; line-height: 9rem; margin-left: 4rem; } .verification-popup-tittle{ display: block; 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如何在板块爆发初期识别龙头，并在分歧时精准低吸而非追高？

25-02-24 16:23 2397次浏览

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一、如何识别板块爆发初期的真龙

首先要观察连板强度与市场地位
真龙通常在板块启动初期率先涨停，且连板数领先于其他票。比如率先晋级二板或三板，且封板速度快（大概在开盘后10分钟内）、换手充分（换手大概在20%），则可以成为真龙的备选。
其次要通过龙虎榜数据或资金流向工具，观察主力资金是否持续流入。若这只票连续出现大单买入且散户参与度低，可能为潜在龙头。

三观察是否有板块带动效应：龙头股会带动同板块其他个股跟涨。就是它上涨后，板块内其他小弟迅速响应，则可确认其龙头地位。

还有真龙在启动期常伴随温和放量（即使放量，但分时均线会慢慢拉升直到封板），后续加速期则可能缩量涨停
技术上，突破关键压力位：若某股突破长期盘整区间或前高压力位，且回踩确认支撑，可能进入主升浪。

二、分歧阶段的低吸策略
1. 龙头股在连续上涨后出现日内剧烈震荡（如分时图大幅波动），但收盘仍能维持阳线或小幅调整，且成交量未明显萎缩。同时板块内后排股开始补涨，但龙头股因获利盘抛压出现短暂回调，此时是低吸机会。
2. 低吸的择时与位置
支撑位介入：在10日线、20日线或前期平台支撑位附近分批建仓。
尾盘确认信号：若龙头股在分歧日尾盘回升并站稳均线，可视为企稳信号，此时介入风险较低。
如果要结合大家熟悉的情绪周期理论的话：就可以根据把龙头股划分为七个周期（启动期→加速期→分歧期→一致期→高潮期→震荡期→退潮期），然后在分歧期布局，在高潮期逐步减仓。
当然啦基本面也要验证：低吸前需确认公司业绩稳定、无重大利空，避免参与纯题材炒作且无实际业绩支撑的个股。
最后识别龙头股的核心在于“先于板块启动、涨幅领先、带动效应强”，而低吸的关键是抓住分歧期的情绪错杀与技术支撑。

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