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Microsoft Could Be Close To Overheating

Nov. 262025 10:09 AM ETMicrosoft Corporation (MSFT) Stock
Invest Heroes
2.5K Followers

Summary

  • Microsoft faces elevated expectations driven by AI and cloud growthbut current valuation appears stretchedand risks are mounting.
  • Microsoft's capex is surgingpotentially outpacing cash flowraising concerns about sustainability if growth targets are missed.
  • The company's large stake in OpenAI is riskygiven inflated valuations and uncertain monetizationwhich could impact goodwill and future earnings.
  • Given high capital spendingoptimistic forecastsand OpenAI risksMSFT is currently a risky investment unless growth and monetization exceed expectations.

Microsoft logo and text sign of Microsoft company office

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The market continues to hold a positive outlook for the Magnificent Seven Sharesincluding Microsoft (MSFT). The primary drivers for Microsoft stock are increasing demand for AI and cloud computing and stable digital services revenues. Howeverwe believe

This article was written by

Invest Heroes
2.5K Followers
Invest Heroes LLC is a CIS-based research firm founded in 2018. Since thenwe provide equity and fixed income research services which become more and more well-known locally among both professional investors and private clients. Here’s what we do: - Cover top 120+ RussianUS and Chinese stocks - Cover 200+ Russian bonds (corporateSOE’s) Provide our research as a paid service to several institutional clientsa couple dozen of asset managers/PM’s and about 3000 private clients Our team consists of 2 strategists as well as a team of analysts (equity market team & 1 fixed income). 9 analysts are currently working in our teamwhich has achieved global professional recognition. In the first yearwe got into the Refinitiv and Factsetin the second year our estimates began to participate in the Refinitiv consensusin the third year we are the best analysts in the Refinitiv rating for a number of Russian companies and we are in a process of signing with S&P Market Intelligence. Our forecasts are often ahead of the marketbecause of detailed business model built for each company. Contact details Sergey Pirogov CEO +7 (919) 762 76 64 [email protected] Aleksandr Sayganov Head of Research +7 (708) 1238294 [email protected]

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