每经编辑:杜宇
2月15日,比特币价格继续剧烈波动,一度触及71000美元/枚的比特币再度直线跳水,以太坊一度跌近4%。
截至2月16日发稿,比特币报68894.51美元,跌幅1.32%。
数据显示,加密货币市场全网近24小时有超11万人爆仓,3.31亿美元(约合人民币23亿元)资金灰飞烟灭。
近期比特币价格在69000美元附近波动,较去年10月的峰值已回落约40%。这波跌势始于去年底,当时超过190亿美元的多头头寸在一次剧烈的去杠杆进程中被清算,终结了此前的强势涨幅。自那以后,币价一直难以站稳脚跟。进入2月初,抛压再次加剧。
多项指标预示,比特币一旦跌破60000美元大关,恐将引发新一轮的极端动荡。
根据Deribit的数据,比特币期权市场中规模最大的头寸集群是看跌 60000美元以下的合约。紧随其后的支撑位是比特币的200周均线(目前略高于58000美元),不少技术分析师将其视为至关重要的生命线。
该图片疑似AI生成图片来源:每日经济新闻 祝裕
另据媒体报道,美联储降息又将迎来重要变数。
2月20日周五,“美联储最爱通胀指标”去年12月PCE数据及第四季度GDP初值将公布。
彭博经济预计,去年12月核心PCE物价指数环比或上涨0.3%,将同比推高至2.9%,显示年末通胀有所升温。尽管美国政府停摆带来干扰,但第四季度GDP增速料将达到3.0%,高于市场预期的2.8%。
投资者还将密切关注下周三公布的美联储会议纪要,以评估支持维持利率不变的官员与主张降息的官员之间的分歧。
数据显示,美国货币市场目前已完全计入7月份降息25个基点的预期,并预计2026年累计降息幅度约为60个基点。根据此前报道,芝商所“美联储观察工具”显示,交易员对美联储6月实施降息的概率预期大幅攀升至83%(此前为49.9%)。
每日经济新闻综合证券时报、中国基金报、市场公开资料
每日经济新闻
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